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January 12, 2009 • Vol. 14, No. 16
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Monday, January 05, 2009
Can Coleman Win?

Over the weekend, Al Franken's lead over Norm Coleman jumped to 225 votes after officials counted about 1,000 absentee ballots that had been wrongly rejected due to clerical errors. This afternoon, the Minnesota canvassing board certified that Franken is the winner. But, as the St. Paul Pioneer Press explained in an editorial last week--much to the chagrin of Senate Democrats like Harry Reid, Chuck Schumer, and Amy Klobuchar--this doesn't mean the race is over:

We see this as a three-act drama. If, by this time next week, Al or Norm is declared the winner of the recount — that is, at the end of Act II but before Act III — there will be a rush to put that man in the seat immediately. We could imagine a scenario where the Democratically controlled U.S. Senate would be happy to do this if Franken maintains his margin.

That would be a slap in the face to Minnesota fairness.

State law includes the right of an election contest. Seating either man while that is pending will be seen as a partisan power play that breaks faith with the spirit of the law. A court contest need not be drawn out but it is the candidate's right. Norm and Al can cool their heels until it's over.

In an election contest, a three judge panel appointed by the chief justice of the Minnesota supreme court will settle disputes between the Coleman and Franken campaigns. Even though it appears there have been serious problems with the recount that have boosted Franken's numbers, Coleman's odds of overtaking Franken's 225 vote lead in an election contest are quite long.

The most egregious problem is the alleged double-counting of ballots. The Coleman campaign claims that Franken netted about 100 votes in Minneapolis precincts where more votes were counted during the recount than on election night.

Continue reading "Can Coleman Win?" »



Panetta to Manage the Unmanagable

"Anybody with a brain realizes you can't trust the agency," said one Republican when I asked him about the appointment of Leon Panetta to run the CIA. So you take someone with a reputation as a competent manager and caretaker and install him there in the hopes that the agency does as little damage to you as possible. On the left, Obama supporters are quick to point to this item Panetta wrote in the Washington Monthly last year, at the height of the Democratic primary, condemning torture. Does it represent political posturing -- a sop to the left -- or Panetta's deeply held views on the issue? I'm guessing the latter, as Panetta's term as White House chief of staff coincided with the first serious use of extraordinary rendition by the Clinton administration. If Panetta was willing to allow the torture of terrorists before 9/11, why would he have changed his mind now?

Panetta will be competent, but the CIA will continue to be a thorn in the side of any president who tries to exert control over its enormous bureaucracy and covert programs. The question is whether he would prefer that the United States return to outsourcing the interrogation of the worst of the worst, or whether he would prefer that his own men do what needs to be done. Panetta has never been particularly partisan in his approach to foreign policy matters, having gained a reputation as a budget guy in the '90s. It's not clear why he would want this job, but for those who wish to imagine that this is a clean break with the Bush administrations effective post-9/11 policies, the history of the Clinton administration suggests that may well be wishful thinking.

Update: More reason to like Panetta is this response from Dianne Feinstein:

“I was not informed about the selection of Leon Panetta to be the CIA Director. I know nothing about this, other than what I’ve read,” said Senator Feinstein, who will chair the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence in the 111th Congress.

“My position has consistently been that I believe the Agency is best-served by having an intelligence professional in charge at this time.”

Tearing Up J Street

J Street, the Jewish group that bills itself as a pacifist, liberal, pro-Palestinian, pro-Israel alternative to AIPAC, has self-destructed in the last week as Israeli forces clash with Hamas militants in Gaza. Jamie Kirchick profiled the group in the New Republic in May, when J Street first emerged to claim that it represented the vast majority of American Jews who, unlike the thugs and terrorists at AIPAC, oppose the terrorism perpetrated by the Jewish state against the good and decent Muslims of Palestine.

One probably could have predicted that this farce would only last until an open conflict broke out in Israel. Now that Israel is at war, American Jews seem to be rallying to its defense -- even those whose impulses are dovish. Yet J Street continues to rail against Israel and those who would support its action in Gaza. The response came from Eric Yoffie, the president of the Union for Reform Judaism, who is described by Ami Eden at JTA as "arguably the Jewish community's most important dove." Yoffie responded in the Forward to a statement that J Street posted equating Israel and Hamas and finding both equally guilty. He wrote:

"These words are deeply distressing because they are morally deficient, profoundly out of touch with Jewish sentiment and also appallingly naĂŻve.

J Street responded in kind:

The views we hold may not be those of Rabbi Yoffie, and that’s fine. We accept and welcome an open and honest debate about the merits of our pro-Israel positions.

But to call our views “morally deficient”, “naïve” and “out of touch” with Jewish sentiment is to misread the emerging dynamics of centrist, pro-Israel Jews.

The only problem is that J Street doesn't welcome an open and honest debate. The group is dedicated to purging from mainstream discourse "radicals" like Joe Lieberman, who seemed to be a weekly target for the group's petitions and statements in its first few months of operation. It is also at war with AIPAC. What J Street does not protest is the terrorism of Israel's enemies, or the bellicose statements of Iran, or the anti-Israel sentiment of the far left. Eden runs down the creepy statements the group has put out over the last few weeks and concludes:

For those keeping score, according to J Street officials, if you support Israel's current court of action, you are: 1) not a real friend of Israel, 2) do not support sanity and moderation, 3) don't discern nuances, 4) don't feel compassion for dead and wounded Palestinians, and 5) might be a latent racist.

Hey, it's a free country, but if you're going to go around expressing views like those, you lose the right to cry foul when someone turns around and accuses you of saying something that is "morally deficient, profoundly out of touch with Jewish sentiment and also appallingly naĂŻve."

Right-wing Jews may have taken a few potshots over the last few months at J Street's ridiculous claim to represent American Jewry, but now that the group's "moral deficiency" has made them a target for the Jewish left as well, the jig would seem to be up. But that doesn't mean that George Soros won't give the group some obscene amount of money to keep its small staff employed for the next decade, which may well have been the point all along.

Obama's New Deal: Encourage People to Stay Unemployed

The New York Times reported on the front page of its Sunday edition that as part of the planned stimulus program, Obama Considers Major Expansion in Aid to Jobless. If the article is true, it is a very bad sign for both the economy and the culture:

One proposal, as described by Democratic advisers, would extend unemployment compensation to part-time workers, an idea that Congressional Republicans have blocked in the past.

Other policy changes would subsidize employers’ expenses for temporarily continuing health insurance coverage to laid-off and retired workers and their dependents, as mandated under a 22-year-old federal law known as Cobra, and allow workers who lose jobs that did not come with insurance benefits to be eligible, for the first time, to apply for Medicaid coverage.

As far as the economy goes, the plan as discussed basically involves paying more people in both cash and benefits to stay unemployed. This is just about the worst possible approach to reinvigorating the economy.

A major recession will require many people to make real adjustments and do difficult things. They will have to relocate to different states, change careers, accept significantly lower pay while they gain experience in their new careers, work short-term at unrewarding jobs while they go to night school to train for better careers, etc.

In the long run, this Schumpeterian process of creative destruction will benefit both the individual and the economy at large. The individual winds up working in a new, more rapidly growing and thus a more opportunity-filled industry while the country sees its resources--in this case labor resources--reallocated to places and careers where they can do the most good.

In the short term, though, this type of transition wreaks havoc on families and individuals--that is why it is called creative destruction. This means that few people will undertake such changes except under extreme necessity. Anything the government does to reduce that necessity--such as paying benefits and giving health insurance--creates a reason for a waitress in Michigan to stay put and hope things get better when the real opportunity for her may be to move to Arizona and work in the elder-care industry.

Beyond economics, extending these types of benefits is extremely corrosive to the culture. As a small business owner, I can’t tell you how many people over the years have approached me looking for work “off the books” because they were receiving unemployment benefits and didn’t want to lose them. These job applicants perceived getting a job as carrying an enormous tax equal to 100% of the unemployment benefits. Add in normal income and payroll taxes plus the cost of commuting and they saw a job as not worth it. These types of benefits tempt otherwise law-abiding citizens to engage in illegal activities.

Traditional unemployment benefits have already been extended by 13 weeks in states with an unemployment rate of at least 6 percent. This will delay the recovery. To add subsidized health insurance and Medicaid for those who never had health insurance plus give money to former part-timers … this is all a way of slowing necessary changes in the economy.

One can appreciate the need to increase aggregate demand; one can empathize with the desire to help unemployed people, but if the goal is a speedy recovery without undermining law-abiding practices, the rule should be simple: Minimize or avoid situations in which we pay people for staying unemployed.

The Unserious Left

The ground invasion of Gaza has begun. According to the IDF spokesman, Israel's aims are limited to "deal[ing] a heavy blow to the Hamas terror organization, to strengthen Israel’s deterrence, and to create a better security situation for those living around the Gaza Strip that will be maintained for the long term.” Of course, in order for the Israelis to plausibly claim success, any operation would have to deliver a heavy blow to Hamas and greatly diminish or halt entirely the rocket fire coming out of Gaza. As Martin Kramer explains, Hamas must ultimately be destroyed for the peace process to have any chance of success -- one cannot pursue peace with an organization that denies your very right to exist. If Hamas is not obviously weakened by this operation, then like Hezbollah in 2006, it will emerge with enhanced political credibility (even if its capacity for violence has been severely eroded) and will have advanced its prospects for diplomatic recognition.

Even on the left, there is agreement that the rocket fire must stop -- just disagreement about the best way to achieve this goal, whether diplomacy offers a better chance of success. There is also, one hopes, a broad consensus that Hamas will never be a partner in peace, and that it must ultimately be replaced by a more moderate regime in Gaza if there is to be any chance for a viable two state solution. What the left does not condone is Israel's objective of reestablishing a credible deterrent in Gaza. I wrote earlier this week that the ruthlessness with which Israel has carried out its air campaign in Gaza, including a strike that killed a Hamas leader, Nizar Rayan, along with all four of his wives and nine of his 12 children, was clearly an effort to change the calculus there:

The fight against Islamic radicals always seems to come around to whether or not they can, in fact, be deterred, because it's not clear that they are rational, at least not like us. But to wipe out a man's entire family, it's hard to imagine that doesn't give his colleagues at least a moment's pause. Perhaps it will make the leadership of Hamas rethink the wisdom of sparking an open confrontation with Israel under the current conditions. Or maybe not, and the only way to stop Hamas is to eliminate its capacity for violence entirely.

This excerpt has provoked some bizarre reaction on the left. Glenn Greenwald, as hysterical and long-winded as ever, accuses me of possessing "the very same logic that leads Hamas to send suicide bombers to slaughter Israeli teenagers in pizza parlors and on buses and to shoot rockets into their homes. It's the logic that leads Al Qaeda to fly civilian-filled airplanes into civilian-filled office buildings." Another blogger accuses me of endorsing terrorist ethics, and the Atlantic's in-house gynecologist calls me a thug.

In fact, I was explicitly questioning whether such violence can be effective against a group like Hamas. The target of this strike had already sent one of his own sons into Israel as a suicide bomber. Greenwald presumes that I see Palestinians "as something less than civilized human beings" because I question whether they can be deterred "like us." But I wasn't talking about Palestinians in general, I was talking about the Hamas leadership in particular. If Greenwald believes that Hamas, a terrorist group, is itself the avatar of the Palestinian people, then he is the one who sees the Palestinians as less civilized than the rest of us. If not, then I wonder whether he is illiterate or simply disingenuous. But the Hamas leadership is not like us: Americans may send their sons to war, but they do not send them to certain death for the sake of slaughtering civilians.

It's also striking that Greenwald and his fellow travelers would use words like terrorist and thug to describe me while defending the rights of Hamas, an organization comprised of genuine terrorists and thugs. It's become common for the left to describe its ideological opponents as thugs, and the result, apparently, is the inability to recognize real thuggery when it's staring them in the face.

There is no doubt that Israel has the right to strike Nizar Rayan, even at the cost of killing so many women and children -- these civilians were not intentionally targeted. The question is whether or not this strike, in addition to eliminating a leader of Hamas (and the weapons depot in which he chose to house his family), will also deter Hamas from so brazenly ending the next cease fire. The fact that Greenwald & Co. would react so bizarrely to the mere posing of that question is precisely why their voices are being ignored in this debate. Just the other day Greenwald wrote of how he was perplexed by a poll showing that a majority of Democrats shared his views on Israel's assault, but still the Democratic party was almost uniform in its support for the action. Well, its possible for large numbers of people to hold views that simply aren't serious -- though of course a plurality of Americans still supports Israel's actions in Gaza -- and on this issue, like on telecom immunity and warrantless wiretapping, a large portion of the left simply isn't serious.





Big Hollywood Arrives

On Tuesday, Andrew Breitbart, friend to many here at TWS, launches "Big Hollywood," a website of culture and politics which has "changing Hollywood" as its modest goal.

Breitbart, who helped establish the Drudge Report and the Huffington Post, has discarded more good ideas than most of us have had. (One idea that does not fall into that category was his plan for huskymalemodels.com, a website featuring photos of men whose high-school-era good looks had been compromised by a steady diet of beer and wing in the years since. While there would have been no shortage of "models," I'm not sure that one would have generated much traffic). With Big Hollywood he hopes to engage conservatives and libertarians in the bi-coastal ideas war he has been fighting for years. As Breitbart puts it: "Until conservatives, libertarians and Republicans - who will be the lion's share of Big Hollywood's contributors - recognize that (pop) culture is the big prize and that politics is secondary, there will be no victory in this important battle."

Breitbart lifts the veil on the project in his column today over at The Washington Times. Starting tomorrow, you can access the site here.

Decision 2009

... Just not in the United States. David Kenner has a useful list of this year's upcoming elections. Somehow he left out the two most interesting. First, there are the summer elections in Indonesia, the world's largest Muslim democracy. (And, according to David Brooks, perhaps the location of one of Obama's first state visits.) Then, second, there are the provincial and national elections scheduled in Iraq.

Sunday, January 04, 2009
'This is Not the Bill Richardson I Knew'

Bill Richardson, one adult ticket, under the bus:

Sources tell ABC News that officials on the Obama Transition Team feel that before he was formally offered the job of commerce secretary, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson was not forthcoming with them about the federal investigation that is looking into whether the governor steered a state contract towards a major financial contributor.

Once the investigation became more widely known through national media reports last month, sources tell ABC News, the Obama Transition Team realized the FBI would not be able to give Richardson a clean political bill of health before the new administration is ready to send his nomination up to the Senate for confirmation.

The Richardson camp says the governor was forthcoming, with sources close to the governor noting that there had been reports about the controversy in local media such as the Albuquerque Journal as far back as August 2008. The governor discussed the investigation with the Obama team, they say, and believes that he and his administration have done nothing wrong.

The Albuquerque Journal's first story on the investigation appeared August 29, 2008, according to Nexis Lexis, but no follow-up stories between that first one and Richardson's December nomination. It was after his nomination that national media caught onto the story and began reporting it repeatedly, but it seems it would have taken a minimal amount of vetting of Richardson's coverage in local media by the Obama team to establish what the investigation was all about.

By the way, doesn't this make the second Commerce Secretary miscue "for a presidential transition that has had an exceedingly smooth public face?"

Guardian: Nizar Rayan, Political Leader: 1959-2009

If you're concerned about the dwindling vital signs of Western culture in Britain, pull out the defibrilator, stat.

A national British TV station allowed Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to give its alternative Christmas message.

The Guardian is now eulogizing terrorist leaders in official "obituaries" chock-full of euphemisms and moral equivalence. Not news stories, but obituaries.

In the Guardian's estimation, Nizar Rayan was not a murderous terrorist leader who propelled others, including his own children, to violence against Israeli civilians in the name of Islam. He was a "man of the street."

He was not an idiot thug who called Israel an offense to God, but "on the streets of Gaza, where economic and social misery has boosted Hamas's reputation during the past five years, he was something of a hero. He was famed for fighting alongside his men and being seen with them publicly."

"And, he was not merely a fighter," coos the writer before moving onto Rayan's other alleged accomplishments.

To the Guardian, he was not a dangerous radical who used his knowledge of Islamic texts in the service of encouraging suicide bombers, but was "highly regarded as an Islamic academic."

He was not a racist militant who declared the day before he died: "Our only language with the Jew is through the gun."

Instead, he was a "political leader, born 6 March 1959; died 1 January 2009."

And, the Guardian is not merely involved in useful idiocy, but dangerous moral idiocy. Good luck, Britain.

Bill Richardson Withdraws from Consideration for Commerce Secretary

The Obama transition train just keeps on chugging down the tracks to Smoothville, huh?

Bill Richardson reportedly has withdrawn as the commerce secretary-designate in the face of a federal grand jury investigation into whether the former presidential candidate exchanged government contracts for campaign contributions.

NBC News on Sunday reported that Richardson, who is the governor of New Mexico, denies any wrongdoing but the investigation won't be finished before he has to go to Senate confirmation hearings.

Richardson denies wrongdoing, but doesn't want to delay the Commerce Department's work while he's under investigation, he said. Obama issued a statement saying he accepted Richardson's decision with "deep regret."

More details on the allegations Richardson is facing:

A person familiar with the proceedings has told The Associated Press that the grand jury is looking into possible "pay-to-play" dealings between CDR Financial Products and someone in a position to push the contract through with the state of New Mexico.

Richardson said he plans to continue in his role as governor. "I appreciate the confidence President-elect Obama has shown in me, and value our friendship and working partnership. I told him that I am eager to serve in the future in any way he deems useful. And like all Americans, I pray for his success and the success of our beloved country."

The Politico offers this assessment of the withdrawal, from which I can only conclude its writers and editors are suffering from an aggressive form of professional amnesia that omits only new stories that happen in Chicago and are damaging to Barack Obama. It's an affliction that affected much of the press corps during the campaign, and is proving resistant to treatment by reality in a post-election political environment:

Richardson’s withdrawal, which had not been preceded by the sort of rumblings that often accompany such a departure, is the first false start for a presidential transition that has had an exceedingly smooth public face.

Even if one doesn't count Blagojevich's sins against Obama, surely the involvement of the names of Rahm Emanuel and Valerie Jarrett in the investigation is a blemish. If not that, perhaps Obama's clumsy handling of the scandal, for which the Politico itself has criticized him. Then there's Blago's appointment of Burris, and the predicament now facing Senate Dems, which could conceivably have been avoided had Obama insisted forcefully on a special election. And, finally, the row over his pick of Rick Warren for his invocation at inauguration. Obama should not take all the blame for every political mishap in his party during his transition period, but to say the public face has been exceedingly smooth?

Yes, smooth, like the public face of a high-school marching band without a dermatologist.

Saturday, January 03, 2009
Into Gaza, On the Ground
AP09010305770.jpg

After a week of air strikes, Israel moved into Gaza after dark tonight, as Israeli officials promised a "lengthy operation:"

Heavy gun battles were reported as troops crossed the border into Gaza. Local TV networks broadcast images of troops marching into Gaza after dark.

"We have many many targets," Maj. Avital Leibovich told CNN. "To my estimation, it will be a lengthy operation." She said the goal of the operation was to take over the areas used by militants to launch rockets against Israel.

"The civilians are not our target, only militants, Hamas militants," she said.

The National Security Cabinet approved the call-up of thousands of reserve soldiers, to enable the expansion of Operation Cast Lead, but it's not clear how deep the ground incursion will go into Gaza or how long it will last.

Defense Minister Ehud Barak made a statement shortly after fighting started, and referred to the goal of the ground troops broadly — "to hit Hamas hard"— acknowledging that the operation poses dangers to soldiers:

"We know there will be dangers, difficulties and victims… It must be said that the ground operation entails dangers to the lives of soldiers," Barak said in a press conference early Saturday night.

Jerusalem Post sources report dozens of Hamas fighters being killed in firefights so far.

Update: More from Barak's statement:

"The campaign won't be easy and it won't be short," he said, emphasizing that the operation entails the risking of Israeli lives. "I know well the dangers that come with an offensive, and what the heavy price will be."

"I don't want to fool anyone. The residents of southern Israel will also undergo some tough times," Barak continued.

The defense minister also addressed the possibility of an escalation in violence in northern Israel, along the border with Lebanon. "We hope that the northern front will remain calm, but we are prepared for any possibility," he said.

Friday, January 02, 2009
Pelosi and Polarization

When the Democrats captured the majority in Congress two years ago, some of their boosters in the media like Joe Klein predicted an outbreak of “centrism.”

Red State Democrats would ease their party to the middle and end the era of extreme partisan polarization.

Back then Klein wrote a Time cover story titled “Why the Center is the New Place to Be,” filled with hopeful speculation about how the thoughtful center would prevail.

Even House Speaker Nancy Pelosi caught the spirit. On opening day of the 110th Congress in January 2007 she said this to her colleagues:

"I accept this gavel in the spirit of partnership, not partisanship…” Adding… “the American people told us they expected us to work together for fiscal responsibility, with the highest ethical standards and with civility and bipartisanship.”

But two years later the Klein/Pelosi Kumbaya turned into a pipedream. Partisan polarization actually hit new records last year, despite Democrats’ happy talk.

Princeton University political scientist Nolan Mccarty agrees. He analyzed the level of partisan polarization in the recently ended 110th Congress and finds predictions of centrism…well, wrong. Mccarty writes:

In fact, polarization rose in the 110th Congress just as it has almost every term since 1975. The House had set a record for polarization in the 109th, but the 110th broke it. The Senate broke its own record set in 1867.

You can read the full post here.

Hat Tip: The Monkey Cage

A 'Supposed' Serious Person

Richard Falk is Professor of International Law and Practice, Emeritus, at Princeton University. He is also the United Nations Special Rapporteur on Human Rights in the Palestinian Territories. Princeton hasn't booted him yet, but the Israelis did, refusing him entry to the country and putting him on the first flight back to Geneva when he arrived a few weeks ago. The reason? As the New York Times characterized the Israeli position, Falk maintains a "hostile position towards Israel." He does not maintain a hostile position to 9/11 truthers, having declared that "only willful ignorance can maintain that the 9/11 narrative should be treated as a closed book.”

Falk once asked and answered this question in an essay titled "Slouching Toward a Palestinian Holocaust":

Is it an irresponsible overstatement to associate the treatment of Palestinians with this criminalized Nazi record of collective atrocity? I think not.

Today Falk takes to the online pages of (where else) the Huffington Post to defend Hamas and its 'harmless' and 'periodic' rocket fire against Israeli civilians. One word that gets frequent use is 'supposed.'

As always in relation to the underlying conflict, some facts bearing on this latest crisis are murky and contested, although the American public in particular gets 99% of its information filtered through an exceedingly pro-Israeli media lens. Hamas is blamed for the breakdown of the truce by its supposed unwillingness to renew it, and by the alleged increased incidence of rocket attacks....

Such Israeli shows of force have been a feature of past Israeli election campaigns, and on this occasion especially, the current government was being successfully challenged by Israel's notoriously militarist politician, Benjamin Netanyahu, for its supposed failures to uphold security....

...the inflammatory threats voiced by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad together with Iran's supposed push to acquire nuclear weapons, the fading memory of the Holocaust combined with growing sympathy in the West with the Palestinian plight, and the radicalization of political movements on Israel's borders in the form of Hezbollah and Hamas.

Is it an irresponsible overstatement to say that Richard Falk is an embarrassment to the United Nations, Princeton University, and even the Huffington Post? I think not.

Sargent to WaPo

Greg Sargent, the prolific TPM reporter, announced today that he's heading to the Washington Post to run a new blog. Sargent is an unrepentant Democratic partisan, which means he should fit in well with the staff at the Post, but also a top notch reporter. During the campaign, Sargent would ping the McCain press shop with questions all day long. Because TPM is so overtly partisan, he rarely got the answers he was looking for, but for his persistence, if nothing else, Sargent earned a grudging respect from the McCain staff.

Sargent pretty much carried TPM over the last year, and it's not clear to me how that site survives in its current configuration during a Democratic administration (which they have no interest in investigating) and without their best reporter. Still, for online partisan reporting, TPM set the bar pretty high this election. Republicans have no equivalent outlet. Any strategy to revive the party's fortunes will require developing the kind of online infrastructure the Democrats now have in place, but you can't do that without a bunch of right-wing Greg Sargents.

Obama: Don't Ask Me No Questions

Just for fun, a brief year in review of Obama's legendary new openness and transparency with the press corps:

She's a Princess, You Know

So Patterson is leaning towards Caroline according to report:

New York Gov. David Paterson says the search is ongoing, but two people close to him tell The Associated Press they believe Caroline Kennedy will be appointed to replace Hillary Clinton in the U.S. Senate....

Meanwhile, Kennedy seems to be taking the governor's remarks to heart.

"Caroline knows that whoever Gov. Paterson selects will have to prove himself or herself to voters all across the state. If Caroline is chosen she is committed to working tirelessly to deliver for all New Yorkers," the Kennedy camp said in a statement.

That's big of her, since last time she was asked about running in 2010 she told NY1 "Well, if he doesn't select me, I would support the person that he does select." So she will only run if she's given the advantage of incumbency, because she's a Kennedy. It just wouldn't be right to accept a level playing field, but, given the advantage of incumbency, she will be more than happy to 'prove herself,' after the fact, to the voters of New York.

It would be an embarrassment for the Democratic party, which suddenly seems to know nothing but since November 4. But for Republicans, the possibility of Franken, Caroline, and Burris all making it into the Senate is like hitting the trifecta -- incompetence, nepotism, and corruption, respectively, will be the buzzwords for our new Democratic Senate.

Donald Westlake, 1933-2008

Donald Westlake, one of the boss's favorite authors, passed away yesterday. Westlake wrote once for THE WEEKLY STANDARD, a piece that can be read here, and was the subject of a profile in this magazine by Steven Lenzner, which can be read here. Lenzner begins:

Plato, as everyone knows, once defined man as a "featherless biped." His student Aristotle insisted instead that man is by nature a political animal, a being whose capacity for speech compels him to live with others.

So who’s right, ironic Plato or solid Aristotle? I can think of only one living writer who might reconcile the two—and that’s Donald E. Westlake, the author of the best crime-caper stories ever written. Indeed, properly read, Westlake has already reconciled Plato and Aristotle in his stories, by showing us man as the animal who can laugh at himself, use speech to explode human pretensions, and thus reach toward civilization. Donald Westlake is not only our finest living comic mystery writer, but perhaps one of our finest living philosophers.

Read the whole thing.

Update: Also see this recent review of two of Westlake's last novels from the September 1, 2008, issue of THE WEEKLY STANDARD, and this post from Terry Teachout as well.

Ruthless

It's true that there are very few examples in 20th century history of a bombing campaign that actually broke the morale of a people at war and sapped them of the will to continue the fight. The Battle of Britain did nothing but harden the resolve of the English, and the destruction of German cities didn't stop the German people from fighting on to the end (even if Bomber Harris and Hap Arnold did much to hasten that end). The use of nuclear weapons was effective in the Pacific, but only after horrific fire bombings that did nothing to bring the Japanese to heel. Bombing worked in Serbia, but not in the First Gulf War or Vietnam.

The Middle East has been no different. Wars have been won or lost by boots on the ground, with air power playing a crucial but secondary role in each of Israel's major wars since its independence. In Israel's current fight in Gaza, against a terrorist organization rather than a state actor, air power alone seems even less likely to produce a successful outcome. The great failure of the 2006 war in Lebanon was an overreliance on air power, and in Afghanistan in late 2001, the same problem contributed to the escape of al Qaeda's leadership from Tora Bora. Still, there aren't many instances of air power used to the effect of this report now coming out of Gaza:

An Israeli warplane dropped a 2,000-pound bomb on the home of one of Hamas' top five decision-makers Thursday, instantly killing him and 18 others, while the Israeli army said troops massed on the Gaza border were ready for any order to invade. The airstrike on Nizar Rayan was the first that succeeded in killing a member of Hamas' highest echelon since Israel began its offensive Saturday. The 49-year-old professor of Islamic law was known for personally participating in clashes with Israeli forces and for sending one of his sons on a 2001 suicide mission that killed two Israelis....

Eighteen other people, including all four of Rayan's wives and nine of his 12 children, also were killed, Palestinian health officials said. A man cradled the burned, limp body of a child he pulled from the rubble.

These people willingly send their own children to their deaths simply to make a statement -- to accomplish nothing but the murder of two Israeli civilians and signal their commitment to the fight. The fight against Islamic radicals always seems to come around to whether or not they can, in fact, be deterred, because it's not clear that they are rational, at least not like us. But to wipe out a man's entire family, it's hard to imagine that doesn't give his colleagues at least a moment's pause. Perhaps it will make the leadership of Hamas rethink the wisdom of sparking an open confrontation with Israel under the current conditions. Or maybe not, and the only way to stop Hamas is to eliminate its capacity for violence entirely. Or Israeli leaders can just try to find a diplomatic solution -- as a majority of Democrats apparently favor. It worked so well with the last cease fire.

The Daily Grind

"At war today in Gaza, one combatant is committed to causing the most civilian pain and suffering on both sides. The other combatant is committed to saving as many lives as possible -- also on both sides."

Hamas vows revenge on Israel, as soon as it can escape from under the barrage of precision-targeted bombing taking out its leaders.

The many charms of Roland Burris.

Ouch: Illinois Dems deserve Burris, who is "at least six parts ego to one part performance, a charmless, presumptuous irritant on the stump and at the debate lectern."

Ouch: "Caroline is here, in case you all were wondering," Paterson said loudly. "She's 7 and she's ready to go to the Senate."

AP and MSNBC still obsessing over Palin's family members and their significant others, like gossip rags.

Top bidders contenders for Rahm Emanuel's seat rise from the pristine waters of Illinois politics.

Obama transition connects high-minded, educational essay contest for inauguration tickets to its neverending fund-raising efforts.

Happy coincidence: Convention of leather fetishists and Obama inauguration coincide in D.C.

North Carolina governor says it's newspaper's job to be nice to him.

Wednesday, December 31, 2008
The Muslim Wedge

From a very smart Barry Rubin piece at Pajamas Media:

In some ways, the most important — or at least second most important — thing to happen in the Middle East this week is that Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah went too far, calling for the overthrow of Egypt’s government.

Egypt’s Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit responded, “They have actually declared war on Egypt.” And when he says “they” he means Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, and Hamas. The Saudis and Gulf Arabs are also drawing lines deeper than ever before. Publicly and loudly, they look at Gaza and see Arabs and Muslims, and criticize Israel. More softly in public and loudly in private they look at Gaza and see the Iranian axis.

This is the Middle East of 2008 and not of 1958, 1968, 1978, 1988, or 1998. The Palestinian issue has little effect on any other issue. The real conflict is Iran-Syria against Egypt-Saudi Arabia. Islamists are seeking to conquer the region from Arab nationalists. Radical groups are not interested in happy homelands but jihad and genocide.

And so the issue is not why Israel is attacking Hamas in Gaza now, but why Hamas in Gaza is attacking Israel now.

Does Israel have any greater advantage in its existential struggle than the endless feuding among Sunnis and Shias, Arabs and Persians, nationalists and Islamists. Rubin makes an excellent point about Hezbollah having dangerously overreached (I think Hamas did as well, though on a smaller scale, with its attack yesterday on Be'er Sheva) and about the effect this latest fighting seems to have had on the existing divisions in the Middle East, but in many ways, the Middle East of 2008 is not so different from the Middle East of 1948 or 1967 or 1973. As long as the Muslim world is divided against itself, even a dysfunctional Israeli political system will be able to outmaneuver its foes as it has done for the last 60 years. Read the rest of Rubin's piece here.

Atheist Sues to Ban Inaugural Prayer

Speaking of things that could kill a prayer, there is a new lawsuit by Michael Newdow (the guy who tried unsuccessfully to get "under God" struck from the Pledge of Allegiance) that takes aim at inauguration prayers as well as the practice (it started with George Washington) of a president's saying the words "so help me God" after reciting the brief oath in Article II of the Constitution. Newdow wants to have all of that declared unconstitutional. It won't happen.

Roland Burris' Monument to Himself

This alone ought to disqualify Roland Burris from being appointed as a United States Senator. Its amazing how the left has been able to rally around Burris without knowing anything about him, declaring him qualified to serve if only he hadn't been appointed by a governor on the verge of impeachment and imprisonment. Nevermind that he sought the appointment despite all that, or that he ran for the Democratic nomination for Senate and was soundly rejected by the voters of Illinois once before, as he was rejected for governor by those same voters (in favor of Blago!).

Did anyone ever think that maybe there was a reason Illinois voters refused to send Burris to the Senate when they had the chance? Click through to see the "major accomplishments" Burris has emblazoned on his own monument to his own greatness.

burrisgrave.jpg
Bobby Rush Doubles Down on Race Card

On CBS's "The Early Show" this morning:

RODRIGUEZ: I’m fine, thank you. Yesterday we heard you say that they shouldn’t hang and lynch the appointee to punish the appointer. But do you believe that this is the way the only African-American Senator should be seated? Tainted, rightly or not, by a scandal and against the objections of most of his own party?

Rep. RUSH: Well, let me just say this, you know, the recent history of our nation has shown us that sometimes there could be individuals and there could be situations where school children–where you have officials standing in the doorway of school children. You know, I’m talking about all of us back in 1957 in Little Rock, Arkansas. I’m talking about George Wallace, Bull Connors and I’m sure that the US Senate don’t want to see themselves placed in the same position. I know my friend Harry Reid…

RODRIGUEZ: But it’s not just the Senate, Congressman. It’s Barack Obama who is African-American also who disagrees with this.

Rep. RUSH: Well, I think what needs–what needs to happen now is that all these folks who are opposed to Governor Blagojevich, they need to take a chill pill. We’re still a nation of laws and I believe that Roland Burris and Governor Blagojevich, they’re on solid constitutional grounds in terms of them being–of him being selected. I think that the US Senate will have to accept him. Let me just say this, you know, the real political tragedy, the real political issue, the moral issue that we face is why in the US Senate there are no African-Americans? There are two Asians, three Latinos, 11 women, but no African-Americans. And I just must applaud the people of the state of Illinois because in the last 150 years, we have sent two of the three African-Americans to the Senate over a period of 150 years. Now something is really, really wrong with that. So are you saying is this–is this…

Holy chutzpah! Nice careers you got there, Senators...shame if anyone should start comparing you to Bull Connor. For pure entertainment value, the Blago scandal cannot be beat.

Billy Mays Will Save the Party for Just $19.95!
mays.jpg

How's this for encouragement in the new year? Obama and Senate Dems can't shake the resilient Rod Blagojevich, House Dems can't rid themselves of the scandal-ridden Charlie Rangel, and now, it is revealed that none other than Billy Mays is a Republican.

The interview is actually a couple months old, but I'd never seen it linked anywhere, and I thought the news was vital:

L.G.: A lot of the fundraising is done on the internet, in small increments—indeed, in many cases in $19.95 increments. Could you see a situation where you're selling Barack Obama or John McCain in that way, or is that just too nutty?

B.M.: I think if I was approached by the McCain camp. I'm a Republican.

L.G.: Maybe this is unfair to ask, but how would you pitch John McCain? Would you say, "Billy Mays here for John McCain?"

B.M.: Security. The world's a safer place. Country first. "Billy Mays for John McCain! If you want to keep you and your family safe, vote McCain!" I'd have to think about it, I wouldn't like to bash anything. I'd like to keep things positive.

As far as I'm concerned, this means our 2009 prospects are stronger than Mighty Putty and brighter than an Oxi-Cleaned laundry load.

The Daily Grind

Egypt cancels New Year's in solidarity with Palestinians. Too bad they didn't ever cancel all that smuggling into Gaza.

Beware the cycle of ceasefires.

Adding a million or so drunk revelers to a city renowned for its high levels of crime and low levels of competence? Happy Inauguration Day! Wear a helmet.

The Top 10 Top 10 lists of 2008. Meta!

Anti-Israel protestors wait for "change" in Mid-East policy
that's not coming anytime soon.

Blago cannot be stopped!

Israel's stories
you won't see on CNN.

Things get worse for Caroline.

They will never, ever leave us. Never.

Rick Warren: No Preaching & No Politicking in the Inaugural Invocation

The other day I emailed a few questions to Rick Warren, who has accepted Barack Obama’s invitation to give the inauguration prayer, and he’s now responded. Warren says, among other things, that the invitation was “completely unexpected” and that “several dozen” other pastors would do “a better job.” It’s apparent that he knows a great deal about inaugural prayers--he actually has a binder containing them all--and he says he’s going to reread them all before he settles on what shape his will take. I don’t think he’ll be backing away from praying in the name of Jesus. On the other hand, he won’t be using his prayer to preach or take a political stance--"that’s the fastest way to kill a prayer," he says.

Here are my questions and Warren’s answers:

How hard or easy was the decision to accept the president-elect’s invitation?

I am both humbled and honored to have a tiny part of a history-making day, when our country inaugurates our first African- American president. The invitation was completely unexpected. I could name several dozen wonderful pastors, both black and white, who would do a better job.

Do you expect to look at some past inauguration prayers to see what’s been done before?

I’ve always been an avid student of American history, since a Richard Warren was one of the 41 Pilgrim signers of the Mayflower Compact. I already have a collection of many of the important prayers in U.S. history, including a binder of every inaugural prayer. Of course, I’ll reread them all again before Jan. 20th. I own Abraham Lincoln’s handwritten note confirming the need for a national chaplaincy to care [for] wounded soldiers during the Civil War and approving a pastor.

How do you think about the kind of prayer to be given at a (any) public event, given that the audiences at such events usually have various faiths represented?

It doesn’t bother me at all when an Imam prays a Muslim prayer in [a] public arena or when a Rabbi prays a Jewish prayer in public or when anyone expresses their personal faith in public. This is America. We don’t deny our differences but we are respectful of all of them. I’m a Christian pastor so I will pray the only kind of prayer I know how to pray.

By which I mean both what is prayed for and how it is prayed?

Prayers are not to be sermons, speeches, position statements, nor political posturing. That’s the fastest way to kill a prayer. They are humble appeals to God. My hope is that all Americans will pray for the new president.

Tuesday, December 30, 2008
Pakistan Sees No Evil

You've got to love the Pakistani government's sense of humor, which is so vividly on display with its official position on Ajmal Amir Kasab, the surviving terrorist involved in the execution of the Mumbai terror assault.

Pakistan has repeatedly denied that Kasab is even a Pakistani, let alone a member of the Inter-Services Intelligence-backed Lashkar-e-Taiba. Even President Asif Ali Zardari, in an interview with the BBC said there is no proof Kasab is a Pakistani. "Have you seen any evidence to that effect. I have definitely not seen any real evidence to that effect," Zardari told the BBC in mid-December.

More than one month after the Mumbai attack, Pakistani National Security Adviser Mahmud Ali Durrani waffles on the issue of Kasab's nationality. "Could be," Durrani said when asked if Kasab was a Pakistani citizen. "I am not saying more than that because we don't have, I hate to say this we don't have proof."

But Pakistan has been given proof of Kasab's nationality. Kasab himself admitted he is from Pakistan and submitted a request for consular access. The request is "under review." Kasab's father and neighbors were interviewed by Pakistani television and news outlets and confirmed he was indeed from Pakistan. His own father identified him and provided a nearly identical account of his son's background as Kasab gave to Indian intelligence. "This is the truth," Kasab's father told a Pakistani news outlet. "I have seen the picture in the newspaper. This is my son Ajmal."

Pakistan's response was to cordon the village, remove Kasab's family from their home and move someone else in, and force the townspeople to retract their statements. That's humor, Pakistani style. But nuclear-armed India doesn’t think it is funny.

Happy Hour Links

Ramesh Ponnuru bats down the newfangled (and nonsensical) proportionality standard promoted by many critics of Israeli military action.

Cynthia McKinney's voyage to Gaza doesn't go quite as it was planned.

Vicki Iseman sues the New York Times for $27 million.

Remember when Joe Biden vowed there wouldn't be any earmarks in the next stimulus bill? So much for that.

If one of us has Alien Hand Syndrome, we all have Alien Hand Syndrome.


Via Allahpundit, Congressman Bobby Rush asks everyone to not "hang or lynch" Illinois's new senator (?) Roland Burris.